Test conviction against the market.

Pick a market, set your subjective probability, and see expected value vs. the consensus price.

Markets

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

0.1¢

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

0.1¢

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

0.1¢

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner

0.1¢

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

0.1¢

Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

0.6¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner

0.1¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner

100.0¢

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner

0.1¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

100.0¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

42.5¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

81.5¢

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner

63.0¢

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

0.1¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

1.1¢

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

32.5¢

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0.3¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

97.9¢

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0.1¢

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

0.4¢

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Consensus: 0.1¢ · Liquidity $708.4K

Your probability (YES)0%

Stake (USDC)$100

Edge

-0.1pp

Recommend

NO

EV (YES)

$-100.00

EV (NO)

+$0.05

Best play: NO at 100.0¢ → expected value +$0.05