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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

$1.17M 24h$724.5K0.1%

Yes0.1%

No100.0%

YES · 0.1%NO · 100.0%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

$560.6K 24h$515.0K1.0%

Yes28.5%

No71.5%

YES · 28.5%NO · 71.5%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

$489.4K 24h$783.8K1.7%

Yes78.5%

No21.4%

YES · 78.5%NO · 21.4%

Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?

$486.1K 24h$1.49M

Yes100.0%

No0.1%

YES · 100.0%NO · 0.1%

Japan Women's Open: Caty McNally vs Sinja Kraus

$446.9K 24h$171.3K

Caty McNally0.1%

Sinja Kraus100.0%

YES · 0.1%NO · 100.0%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

$438.5K 24h$700.8K2.0%

Yes21.5%

No78.5%

YES · 21.5%NO · 78.5%

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

$426.1K 24h$462.8K

Yes0.1%

No99.9%

YES · 0.1%NO · 99.9%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

$302.7K 24h$1.13M1.0%

Yes87.5%

No12.5%

YES · 87.5%NO · 12.5%

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5

$300.9K 24h$93.3K48.4%

Over0.1%

Under100.0%

YES · 0.1%NO · 100.0%

Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?

$270.9K 24h$296.2K0.2%

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

YES · 0.5%NO · 99.5%

Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez

$262.3K 24h$207.5K34.0%

Elise Mertens88.5%

Leylah Fernandez11.5%

YES · 88.5%NO · 11.5%

Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

$250.2K 24h$1.13M

Yes0.1%

No99.9%

YES · 0.1%NO · 99.9%

Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

$250.0K 24h$510.6K

Yes0.1%

No99.9%

YES · 0.1%NO · 99.9%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

$209.6K 24h$438.1K1.0%

Yes82.5%

No17.5%

YES · 82.5%NO · 17.5%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

$190.5K 24h$103.9K2.0%

Yes95.5%

No4.5%

YES · 95.5%NO · 4.5%

Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart

$180.2K 24h$175.3K

Talia Gibson59.0%

Harriet Dart41.0%

YES · 59.0%NO · 41.0%

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$175.5K 24h$533.2K1.0%

Yes4.5%

No95.5%

YES · 4.5%NO · 95.5%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

$170.6K 24h$950.2K1.0%

Yes12.5%

No87.5%

YES · 12.5%NO · 87.5%

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs

$166.5K 24h$103.1K2.0%

PARIVISION59.5%

magic40.5%

YES · 59.5%NO · 40.5%

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

$163.0K 24h$224.7K1.3%

Yes3.9%

No96.2%

YES · 3.9%NO · 96.2%

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

$158.0K 24h$892.4K0.1%

Yes0.9%

No99.2%

YES · 0.9%NO · 99.2%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?

$155.5K 24h$74.9K1.8%

Yes98.0%

No2.1%

YES · 98.0%NO · 2.1%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

$154.4K 24h$897.8K

Yes0.4%

No99.7%

YES · 0.4%NO · 99.7%

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs

$153.3K 24h$130.4K1.0%

Alliance38.5%

TheMongolz61.5%

YES · 38.5%NO · 61.5%

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

$149.7K 24h$218.0K0.1%

Yes2.1%

No98.0%

YES · 2.1%NO · 98.0%

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

$147.5K 24h$215.3K0.1%

Yes0.4%

No99.7%

YES · 0.4%NO · 99.7%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?

$144.4K 24h$44.2K6.5%

Yes97.0%

No3.0%

YES · 97.0%NO · 3.0%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

$137.5K 24h$100.4K1.0%

Yes86.5%

No13.5%

YES · 86.5%NO · 13.5%

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$127.2K 24h$566.3K

Yes15.5%

No84.5%

YES · 15.5%NO · 84.5%

Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?

$112.3K 24h$152.4K

Yes0.4%

No99.6%

YES · 0.4%NO · 99.6%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

$111.4K 24h$157.7K3.5%

Yes37.6%

No62.4%

YES · 37.6%NO · 62.4%

Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?

$108.0K 24h$300.6K

Yes0.7%

No99.4%

YES · 0.7%NO · 99.4%

Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?

$105.6K 24h$279.1K

Yes0.1%

No99.9%

YES · 0.1%NO · 99.9%

Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?

$104.5K 24h$248.9K

Yes0.1%

No99.9%

YES · 0.1%NO · 99.9%

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

$104.1K 24h$424.8K

Yes0.1%

No99.9%

YES · 0.1%NO · 99.9%

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

$101.5K 24h$468.0K1.0%

Yes78.5%

No21.5%

YES · 78.5%NO · 21.5%

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?

$99.1K 24h$15.2K0.8%

Yes0.9%

No99.1%

YES · 0.9%NO · 99.1%

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?

$92.8K 24h$12.0K9.0%

Yes35.0%

No65.0%

YES · 35.0%NO · 65.0%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

$92.0K 24h$1.19M

Yes0.4%

No99.7%

YES · 0.4%NO · 99.7%

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

$91.2K 24h$125.2K1.0%

Yes27.1%

No73.0%

YES · 27.1%NO · 73.0%

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

$87.3K 24h$259.4K7.1%

Yes47.3%

No52.8%

YES · 47.3%NO · 52.8%

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

$83.1K 24h$137.5K2.0%

Yes11.5%

No88.5%

YES · 11.5%NO · 88.5%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?

$81.4K 24h$39.6K5.0%

Yes10.4%

No89.5%

YES · 10.4%NO · 89.5%

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

$81.4K 24h$376.7K2.0%

Yes19.5%

No80.5%

YES · 19.5%NO · 80.5%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?

$80.9K 24h$120.6K1.8%

Yes7.0%

No93.0%

YES · 7.0%NO · 93.0%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 19?

$79.5K 24h$81.5K0.1%

Yes100.0%

No0.1%

YES · 100.0%NO · 0.1%

Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

$79.2K 24h$454.7K0.1%

Yes0.1%

No99.9%

YES · 0.1%NO · 99.9%

Plague pandemic in 2026?

$78.5K 24h$107.2K1.1%

Yes1.8%

No98.2%

YES · 1.8%NO · 98.2%

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

$76.7K 24h$107.4K1.3%

Yes66.5%

No33.6%

YES · 66.5%NO · 33.6%

Japan Women's Open: Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell

$75.7K 24h$249.6K13.0%

Sonay Kartal50.5%

Kimberly Birrell49.5%

YES · 50.5%NO · 49.5%

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

$75.1K 24h$224.3K0.1%

Yes2.9%

No97.2%

YES · 2.9%NO · 97.2%

Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?

$71.0K 24h$33.3K5.0%

Mbappé56.5%

Yamal43.5%

YES · 56.5%NO · 43.5%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19?

$70.1K 24h$59.3K1.5%

Yes99.4%

No0.7%

YES · 99.4%NO · 0.7%

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

$67.7K 24h$114.1K7.5%

Yes17.0%

No83.0%

YES · 17.0%NO · 83.0%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

$66.7K 24h$90.2K1.5%

Yes29.0%

No71.0%

YES · 29.0%NO · 71.0%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?

$65.8K 24h$47.6K1.0%

Yes91.5%

No8.5%

YES · 91.5%NO · 8.5%

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?

$63.2K 24h$67.6K0.7%

Yes1.9%

No98.0%

YES · 1.9%NO · 98.0%

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

$63.1K 24h$3.01M

Yes90.5%

No9.5%

YES · 90.5%NO · 9.5%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$62.7K 24h$633.2K1.0%

Yes12.5%

No87.5%

YES · 12.5%NO · 87.5%

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

$62.2K 24h$316.3K2.5%

Yes66.5%

No33.5%

YES · 66.5%NO · 33.5%