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Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026$2.50M total volume $31.5K liquidity3.00% 24h
YES probability
87.5%
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About this market

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution source
Polymarket / UMA
Start date
Apr 14, 2026
End date
Mar 31, 2026
Best bid
87.0%
Best ask
88.0%
Condition ID
0x65f204a8…
View on Polymarket
Trade
SideYES
Avg price87.5%
Shares11.43
Potential payout$11.43

Self-custodial · Settlement on Polymarket (Polygon)