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Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026$899.5K total volume $238.3K liquidity0.05% 24h
YES probability
0.8%
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About this market

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.

Resolution source
Polymarket / UMA
Start date
May 12, 2026
End date
May 15, 2026
Best bid
0.7%
Best ask
0.8%
Condition ID
0xcdc9fdf7…
View on Polymarket
Trade
SideYES
Avg price0.8%
Shares1333.33
Potential payout$1333.33

Self-custodial · Settlement on Polymarket (Polygon)