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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026$3.02M total volume $182.7K liquidity0.30% 24h
YES probability
1.9%
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About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source
Polymarket / UMA
Start date
Apr 20, 2026
End date
May 31, 2026
Best bid
1.9%
Best ask
2.0%
Condition ID
0xcddc048c…
Trade
SideYES
Avg price1.9%
Shares512.82
Potential payout$512.82
Self-custodial · Settlement on Polymarket (Polygon)