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Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026$9.75M total volume $326.2K liquidity1.95% 24h
YES probability
4.7%
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About this market
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolution source
Polymarket / UMA
Start date
Sep 18, 2025
End date
Oct 4, 2026
Best bid
4.6%
Best ask
4.8%
Condition ID
0x05297f85…
Trade
SideYES
Avg price4.7%
Shares212.77
Potential payout$212.77
Self-custodial · Settlement on Polymarket (Polygon)
