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Event research atlas · Original · EN
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Change refers to the first outcome: Yes. Values are percentage points, not relative percentages.
Original resolution rules
Original · EN
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
- Resolution source
- No data
- Start date
- 7/11/2025, 7:06:04 PM UTC
- Deadline
- 11/8/2028, 4:59:00 AM UTC
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 0.2%
- Condition ID
- 0xe0173375b7eaccb836f7b92d28a9a2d1cc69e54e5a65fae89a5d7e49aadd332e
Price history
Yes · 0.1%
Refreshing…
Scenario calculator
- Outcome
- Yes
- Displayed price
- 0.1%
- Estimated shares
- 6666.67
- Estimated payout if outcome wins
- $6,666.67
Estimates use the displayed price and a $1 payout per winning share. Not a live execution quote or guarantee. Fees, slippage, liquidity and resolution rules affect results. No order is sent.
Open market on PolymarketMarket price is a participant estimate, not A3 AI confidence. Prices are displayed independently without normalization to 100%; rounding and market quotes may produce different totals.
Price changes alone do not explain their cause. No verified news sources or publication times are attached here, so A3 does not attribute current moves to news.