Back to markets
View on Polymarket
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends —$1.18M total volume $57.8K liquidity14.25% 24h
YES probability
19.1%
Loading price history…
About this market
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source
Polymarket / UMA
Start date
Nov 20, 2025
End date
—
Best bid
19.0%
Best ask
19.2%
Condition ID
0x274cec20…
Trade
SideYES
Avg price19.1%
Shares52.36
Potential payout$52.36
Self-custodial · Settlement on Polymarket (Polygon)