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Event research atlas · Original · EN
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Change refers to the first outcome: Yes. Values are percentage points, not relative percentages.
Original resolution rules
Original · EN
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
- Resolution source
- No data
- Start date
- 12/9/2025, 12:55:49 AM UTC
- Deadline
- 12/6/2026, 12:00:00 AM UTC
- Best bid
- 99.8%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Condition ID
- 0xcd2640464754b9a894ffec98ac11554fdd507ea89ca01237eabb3a6de4a606e6
Price history
Yes · 99.9%
Refreshing…
Scenario calculator
- Outcome
- Yes
- Displayed price
- 99.9%
- Estimated shares
- 10.02
- Estimated payout if outcome wins
- $10.02
Estimates use the displayed price and a $1 payout per winning share. Not a live execution quote or guarantee. Fees, slippage, liquidity and resolution rules affect results. No order is sent.
Open market on PolymarketMarket price is a participant estimate, not A3 AI confidence. Prices are displayed independently without normalization to 100%; rounding and market quotes may produce different totals.
Price changes alone do not explain their cause. No verified news sources or publication times are attached here, so A3 does not attribute current moves to news.