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Event research atlas · Original · EN
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Change refers to the first outcome: Yes. Values are percentage points, not relative percentages.
Original resolution rules
Original · EN
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Resolution source
- No data
- Start date
- 11/15/2025, 12:27:02 AM UTC
- Deadline
- 10/28/2026, 3:59:00 AM UTC
- Best bid
- 33.0%
- Best ask
- 35.0%
- Condition ID
- 0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37
Price history
Yes · 34.0%
Refreshing…
Scenario calculator
- Outcome
- Yes
- Displayed price
- 34.0%
- Estimated shares
- 29.41
- Estimated payout if outcome wins
- $29.41
Estimates use the displayed price and a $1 payout per winning share. Not a live execution quote or guarantee. Fees, slippage, liquidity and resolution rules affect results. No order is sent.
Open market on PolymarketMarket price is a participant estimate, not A3 AI confidence. Prices are displayed independently without normalization to 100%; rounding and market quotes may produce different totals.
Price changes alone do not explain their cause. No verified news sources or publication times are attached here, so A3 does not attribute current moves to news.