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Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026$86.19M total volume $8.67M liquidity0.70% 24h
YES probability
19.4%
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About this market

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source
Polymarket / UMA
Start date
Jul 2, 2025
End date
Jul 20, 2026
Best bid
19.3%
Best ask
19.4%
Condition ID
0x0c4cd205…
View on Polymarket
Trade
SideYES
Avg price19.4%
Shares51.68
Potential payout$51.68

Self-custodial · Settlement on Polymarket (Polygon)