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Event research atlas · Original · EN
Will Adam Hamilton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Change refers to the first outcome: Yes. Values are percentage points, not relative percentages.
Original resolution rules
Original · EN
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
- Resolution source
- No data
- Start date
- 7/11/2025, 6:36:50 PM UTC
- Deadline
- 11/7/2028, 12:00:00 AM UTC
- Best bid
- 0.4%
- Best ask
- 0.7%
- Condition ID
- 0xd2c0cc6a7ad3c0e2590fa55095052e98b1a2b146e9b807138c7421ac0e39c60e
Price history
Yes · 0.5%
Refreshing…
Scenario calculator
- Outcome
- Yes
- Displayed price
- 0.5%
- Estimated shares
- 1818.18
- Estimated payout if outcome wins
- $1,818.18
Estimates use the displayed price and a $1 payout per winning share. Not a live execution quote or guarantee. Fees, slippage, liquidity and resolution rules affect results. No order is sent.
Open market on PolymarketMarket price is a participant estimate, not A3 AI confidence. Prices are displayed independently without normalization to 100%; rounding and market quotes may produce different totals.
Price changes alone do not explain their cause. No verified news sources or publication times are attached here, so A3 does not attribute current moves to news.