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Event research atlas · Original · EN

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?

Total volume: $363,521.1624h volume: $337,298.8Liquidity: $283,646.7124h change · first outcome: +3.00 pp

Change refers to the first outcome: Yes. Values are percentage points, not relative percentages.

Original resolution rules

Original · EN

In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 3, 2026 If Manchester United FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Resolution source
https://www.uefa.com/
Start date
10/21/2026, 6:00:48 PM UTC
Deadline
11/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM UTC
Best bid
44.0%
Best ask
45.0%
Condition ID
0x605e64bac476f348d18ca4b5d587d451afd7c794c304d2d2a5dbbb7cf6dbc9c7

Price history

Yes · 44.5%

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Scenario calculator

Outcome
Yes
Displayed price
44.5%
Estimated shares
22.47
Estimated payout if outcome wins
$22.47

Estimates use the displayed price and a $1 payout per winning share. Not a live execution quote or guarantee. Fees, slippage, liquidity and resolution rules affect results. No order is sent.

Open market on Polymarket

Market price is a participant estimate, not A3 AI confidence. Prices are displayed independently without normalization to 100%; rounding and market quotes may produce different totals.

Price changes alone do not explain their cause. No verified news sources or publication times are attached here, so A3 does not attribute current moves to news.