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Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026$4.54M total volume $124.5K liquidity3.05% 24h
YES probability
4.3%
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About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolution source
Polymarket / UMA
Start date
Apr 17, 2026
End date
Jun 30, 2026
Best bid
4.1%
Best ask
4.5%
Condition ID
0x575e8631…
Trade
SideYES
Avg price4.3%
Shares232.56
Potential payout$232.56
Self-custodial · Settlement on Polymarket (Polygon)