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Plague pandemic in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027$493.6K total volume $105.8K liquidity0.10% 24h
YES probability
1.8%
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About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a "pandemic". A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source
Polymarket / UMA
Start date
Oct 5, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
Best bid
1.8%
Best ask
1.9%
Condition ID
0x9b5ff439…
View on Polymarket
Trade
SideYES
Avg price1.8%
Shares540.54
Potential payout$540.54

Self-custodial · Settlement on Polymarket (Polygon)