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Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026$5.17M total volume $1.48M liquidity1.20% 24h
YES probability
6.9%
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About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source
Polymarket / UMA
Start date
May 4, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
6.8%
Best ask
6.9%
Condition ID
0xa4ddc188…
View on Polymarket
Trade
SideYES
Avg price6.9%
Shares145.99
Potential payout$145.99

Self-custodial · Settlement on Polymarket (Polygon)