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Event research atlas · Original · EN
Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?
Change refers to the first outcome: Up. Values are percentage points, not relative percentages.
Original resolution rules
Original · EN
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
- Resolution source
- https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
- Start date
- 10/31/2026, 4:07:08 PM UTC
- Deadline
- 11/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM UTC
- Best bid
- 99.9%
- Best ask
- 100.0%
- Condition ID
- 0x9c81f9c57cde59d5af7cac4c6cf4763154050711cdd6c35ad4a8b4310acf71dd
Price history
Up · 100.0%
Refreshing…
Scenario calculator
- Outcome
- Up
- Displayed price
- 100.0%
- Estimated shares
- 10.01
- Estimated payout if outcome wins
- $10.01
Estimates use the displayed price and a $1 payout per winning share. Not a live execution quote or guarantee. Fees, slippage, liquidity and resolution rules affect results. No order is sent.
Open market on PolymarketMarket price is a participant estimate, not A3 AI confidence. Prices are displayed independently without normalization to 100%; rounding and market quotes may produce different totals.
Price changes alone do not explain their cause. No verified news sources or publication times are attached here, so A3 does not attribute current moves to news.